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Israel said on Monday that it had struck the command center of Iran’s elite Quds Force, as the fiercest and deadliest confrontation in the history of the Israeli-Iranian conflict entered its fourth day.
As civilian casualties climb on both sides, the war now seems likely to last for more than a week. Israel is intensifying its efforts to destroy Iran’s nuclear and military capabilities and Iran continues to return fire with huge barrages of ballistic missiles, leaving civilians on both sides increasingly fearful and bracing for what is to come.
“Everything’s uncertain,” said Meisam, 41, a poet and writer who joined the crowds of people fleeing Tehran.
The attack on the Quds facility in Tehran, and the extent of any casualties or damage, could not immediately be verified independently. It came as Iranian missiles struck several Israeli cities early on Monday, killing at least eight people, according to Israeli officials.
The volleys were the latest since Israel began attacking Iran on Friday. Since then, Israeli strikes have killed at least 224 people in Iran, according to the country’s health ministry, and injured more than 1,400 people. In Israel, at least 24 people, identified as civilians, have been killed in retaliatory barrages by Iran, with roughly 600 injured.
The attacks have been the longest and most intense in the decades-long enmity between Israel and Iran, raising fears of a wider war that could draw in the United States and other powers.
Israel appears intent on fighting until Iran gives up its nuclear enrichment program, which could be used to create a nuclear bomb, but Iran has given no hint of doing so voluntarily.
The Israeli military said it had struck more than 100 sites in Iran overnight, adding that it was mainly targeting missile launchers. Israeli civil authorities said that Iranian missiles hit at least three residential areas early on Monday — killing five people in central Israel, most of them in the city of Petah Tikva, and three in northern Israel.
Here’s what else to know:
Life on hold: As the Israeli bombardment continues, some Iranians are steeling themselves for a longer conflict. Israel and Iran have traded fire before in recent years, but this time feels different, some residents of Tehran said. With strikes continuing, long lines of cars have packed a highway in northeastern Tehran as Iranians flee the city.
Expanding scope of attacks: Israeli strikes, initially focused on nuclear sites, air defenses and military targets, have also begun targeting the energy industry that underpins much of Iran’s economy. The Israeli military’s chief spokesman said its forces had achieved “freedom of action” in the skies over Tehran, but some of Iran’s air defense systems remain intact, according to an Israeli defense official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive information.
Trying to get home: Israel’s closure of its airspace to civilian planes since the attacks began has left tens of thousands of travelers stranded overseas. On Monday, Israel said it would start organizing some airlifts — but it may be three days before those flights begin.
Echoes of strategy: In assassinating numerous top Iranian officers, the Israeli attacks on Iran have seemed to be following the script from last fall, when Israel decimated the Lebanese militia Hezbollah and degraded its military arsenal.
Damaged diplomacy: Talks between the United States and Iran on the future of Iran’s nuclear program had been scheduled to resume on Sunday in Oman, but were canceled. The Iranian foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, told foreign diplomats in Tehran on Sunday that his country was “prepared for any agreement aimed at ensuring Iran does not pursue nuclear weapons,” but aims to maintain the right to enrich uranium for civilian purposes.
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On the third floor of the tower block, the apartments were missing a wall, their interiors visible from the street below. Windows had been blown from their frames. A dining table had been flipped over. Shards of glass covered sofas, armchairs and a pool table.
That was the scene on Monday in Petah Tikva — a quiet city in central Israel that sustained some of the worst damage from an overnight Iranian missile attack. Four people were killed, at least two of them in the tower block.
“There was a huge explosion — more than just a boom,” said Tali Asher, 44, a nurse who lives with her family on the first floor of the building. “The floors and walls shook, the lights went out, and the room was instantly filled with this powdery dust, and we couldn’t breathe.”
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The worst destruction occurred two floors above Ms. Asher’s home, but the shock waves from that explosion were still strong enough to cause damage that kept her family trapped inside their apartment until rescue workers pulled them out, Ms. Asher said.
“What we saw was total chaos,” Ms. Asher added. “No windows, broken glass all over the floors, broken metal and our furniture all moved around.”
Ofir Pinsker’s apartment on the third floor suffered a direct hit. “Gone, collapsed,” Mr. Pinsker said as he waited outside later that morning.
He said that his family had survived by sheltering in their fortified safe room — a standard feature in most Israeli homes. But the rest of the apartment was heavily damaged. Mr. Pinsker’s son sat nearby on the curb, next to several grocery bags stuffed with possessions the family had managed to salvage from the wreckage.
Everything else, Mr. Pinsker said, was “buried under broken glass.”
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel rebuffed accusations that civilian sites in Iran were being attacked, saying while touring an air force base that his country’s military was striking Iranian “regime targets.” He also said Israel was also telling Tehran’s civilians to evacuate amid Israeli military action, without clarifying whether that was a broad order to the city as a whole or focused on specific sites.
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The Quds Force is one of the most powerful and shadowy arms of Iran’s military and has long played a central role in Tehran’s covert operations across the Middle East. For years, it has been used to arm and train militias across the region to confront Israel, and to help Tehran expand its influence.
The Israeli military said on Monday that it had hit the Quds Force’s command center in Tehran. The claim could not be immediately verified but it would mark a significant blow against a crucial player in the Israel-Iran conflict.
Here’s a look at what the Quds Force is, how it operates, and why it is so important in the escalating clash between Iran and Israel.
What is the Quds Force?
It is an elite unit within Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, tasked with overseeing the country’s foreign operations and support for proxy groups across the Middle East. Named after the Arabic word for Jerusalem, the Quds Force reports directly to the country’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
The Quds Force has long played a central role in supporting what Iran called the “axis of resistance,” a coalition of militias and political movements across the region that oppose Israel and the United States.
The unit has trained, armed and funded groups including Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas in Gaza, Shiite militias in Iraq, and the Houthis in Yemen. Before Israeli offensives severely weakened this regional network, these alliances allowed Iran to exert its influence across the Middle East, shaping the political landscapes of neighboring states in its favor. This included shoring up the Assad regime in Syria and arming Hezbollah to provide a forward line of defense for Iran along Israel’s northern border with Lebanon.
The Quds Force is also believed to have orchestrated operations beyond the Middle East, in Latin America and Europe, according to the U.S. government and intelligence agencies. Activities have included plots to assassinate dissidents, smuggle weapons and conduct espionage targeting U.S. and allied interests.
Who are its leaders?
For more than two decades, the Quds Force was led by Gen. Qassem Soleimani, who spearheaded Tehran’s ambitions to build an axis of military groups across the region to defend Iran’s interests and counter the United States and Israel. Mr. Soleimani was killed in a U.S. drone strike authorized by President Trump in Baghdad in January 2020, dealing a significant blow to the organization.
He was replaced by Gen. Esmail Ghaani, but some analysts say that the unit’s reach and effectiveness has been under strain without General Soleimani’s personal networks and strategic expertise.
How has it fought with Israel?
Before the latest escalation, the Quds Force had been at the center of the long-running covert conflict between Iran and Israel.
The regional adversaries have clashed indirectly through cyberattacks, sabotage operations, targeted assassinations, and maritime attacks. For years, Israel has carried out hundreds of strikes on Iranian-linked targets in Syria — including weapons convoys, drone and missile sites, and military infrastructure. Much of it was operated or supplied by the Quds Force and its allied militias, according to Israeli officials and analysts.
Israel’s assault in recent days has already killed several senior Iranian commanders. A successful strike against the Quds Force — the nerve center of Iran’s military footprint across the region — would represent one of Israel’s most consequential attacks.
As Israeli airstrikes continue to hit Iranian cities, Meisam, 41, a poet and writer, joined the crowds of people fleeing Tehran, the capital. He said he had left Sunday night for his hometown in Eastern Azerbaijan province, driving past smoke that still hung in the air from previous explosions. So many others were driving out of Tehran that even at 2 a.m., he said he had had to wait in a long line at the gas station to fill up. “Everything’s uncertain,” said Meisam, who asked to be identified only by his first name because of the sensitivity of the security situation. No bombs had dropped where he was, he said, but “if this continues, shortages seem inevitable.”
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Marika Kochiashvili
Smoke was still billowing from the Shahran oil depot today. The fuel and gasoline depot was hit and set afire during the Israeli attack that began on Saturday night, according to Iran’s oil ministry.
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Leily Nikounazar
At least 45 Iranian women and children have been killed and another 75 injured since Friday, a government spokeswoman, Fatemeh Mohajerani, told a new conference today. Overall, Israeli strikes have killed at least 224 people in Iran since the attacks began, according to the Iran’s health ministry.
Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan spoke to President Masoud Pezeshkian of Iran by phone and told him that Turkey is willing to help facilitate an end to the current conflict and a return to nuclear negotiations as soon as possible, according to a statement from Erdogan’s office. This is the second call between the leaders of the two neighbor countries since the start of strikes.
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Avishag Shaar-Yashuv
Municipal workers gathered at the scene of an Iranian missile strike in Petah Tikva, Israel. Four people were killed when a strike hit a residential block in this central Israeli city overnight. This morning, I saw balconies of a multi-story building that were charred and damaged, and debris littered the complex’s courtyard. Cleanup crews were working quickly to remove damaged trees to allow safe passage for engineers and emergency crews in the impact zone.
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An Israeli stuck in Berlin who was running out of his daily medication. Two sisters in a Barcelona hotel searching for a family who might host them in the Spanish city. Families unexpectedly separated between Tel Aviv and London.
Facebook groups for Israelis abroad have been abuzz with pleas for help as tens of thousands of travelers who left the country before it started its assault on Iran find themselves stranded overseas.
Israel launched its attack in the early hours of Friday morning, and the element of surprise was a military imperative.
As a result, Israel abruptly closed its airspace to civilian traffic. Officials said that they could not provide accurate figures for the number of Israelis abroad but estimated that it was 100,000 to 150,000, adding that it was not known how, or when, those travelers might return home. On Monday, the Israeli ministry of defense authorized some rescue flights to begin operating. But it may be three days before the flights start, according to a ministry spokeswoman.
Despite Israel’s long Mediterranean coastline and relative proximity to popular tourism destinations like Cyprus, there are no regular ferry services. The Israeli national security adviser, Tzachi Hanegbi, said that the government was discussing maritime options but that nothing had been decided.
Some stranded travelers were trying to get home via Israel’s land borders with Jordan and Egypt. But the Israeli National Security Council has advised citizens to avoid those routes because of security risks associated with the latest tensions in the region.
The council recommended that Israelis abroad wait for updates from the Ministry of Transportation. The ministry and the Israel Airports Authority said that they were working with airlines to bring citizens home but cautioned that it could take some time.
The Foreign Ministry has asked Israelis abroad to register their details on a digital platform. The expectation was that it could take weeks to bring back all those wanting to return.
Israeli airlines have moved their planes out of the country.
Rachel Brettler and her partner headed for Ben Gurion Airport, near Tel Aviv, on Thursday, to fly out for a six-night vacation on the Greek island of Santorini. They had mused in the taxi about rumors that Israel might attack Iran, Ms. Brettler said, but thought little more of it.
“We couldn’t believe the news when we woke the next morning,” Ms. Brettler said, speaking by phone from Santorini. The couple were planning on going to London, where they have family.
Ms. Brettler said it was “unsettling” to be away from their home in Herzliya, north of Tel Aviv, at a time like this. They were still receiving missile alerts from Israel on their cellphones.
Travel in and out of Israel had already been severely curtailed after the Hamas-led attack of Oct. 7, 2023, which ignited the war in Gaza. Many international airlines had suspended flights to and from the country.
Amid the travel upheaval, some visitors have also found themselves stuck in Israel.
Myra Noveck contributed reporting from Jerusalem.
The U.N.'s nuclear watchdog said there was no indication that Israel’s military had targeted the Iranian nuclear plant at Bushehr. In a statement, the International Atomic Energy Agency added that it had not identified any damage to Iran’s best-protected nuclear site, Fordo, which is located deep inside a mountain near the city of Qom.
Israel targeted the Natanz fuel enrichment plant on Friday and destroyed the above ground part of the pilot fuel enrichment plant, but the level of radioactivity outside the site “has remained unchanged and at normal levels,” Rafael Mariano Grossi, head of the U.N. agency, said in a statement to its board of governors.
The Israeli military claims it has now “achieved full aerial superiority over Tehran’s skies.” The military’s chief spokesman, Brig. Gen. Effie Defrin, made the assertion in a briefing this morning in which he also said that Israel had attacked 20 Iranian targets overnight — including the headquarters of Iran’s elite Quds Force, air-defence systems and missile launchers.
Iran’s government is calling on U.N. member states to oppose what it called Israel’s aggression and will also continue defending itself, according to Foreign Ministry spokesman, Esmail Baghaei. “Today is the fourth day of our national defense,” he said at a briefing today, according to the state news agency, IRNA.
News Analysis
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When Israel and Iran clashed last year, they fought in short and contained bursts that usually ended within hours, and both sides looked for off-ramps that allowed tensions to ebb.
Since Israel started a new round of fighting on Friday, the two countries have said they will continue for as long as necessary, broadening the scope of their attacks and leading to much higher casualty counts in both countries. This time, the conflict appears set to last for at least a week, with both Israel and Iran ignoring routes toward de-confliction.
Israel seems motivated to continue until the destruction of Iran’s nuclear enrichment program, either by force or renewed negotiations. Yet Iran has shown no sign of voluntarily ending enrichment, a process crucial to building a nuclear bomb, and Israel has no known ability to destroy a pivotal enrichment site that is buried deep underground.
“We’re weeks rather than days away from this ending,” said Daniel B. Shapiro, who oversaw Middle Eastern affairs at the Pentagon until January.
“Israel will keep going until, one way or another, Iran no longer retains an enrichment capability,” added Mr. Shapiro, now a fellow at the Atlantic Council, a Washington-based research group. “It’s now clear that if Israel leaves this unaddressed, its campaign will have failed.”
While Israel has easily struck Iran’s main enrichment site at Natanz, central Iran, it lacks the American-made “bunker-buster” bombs needed to destroy a smaller subterranean site dug deep into a mountain near Fordo, northern Iran. Israeli officials hope that their strikes on other targets — including Iran’s top military commanders, nuclear scientists and its energy industry — will inflict enough pain to encourage Iran to willingly end operations at Fordo.
For now, Iran seems far from such a capitulation, even if Israel has shown increasing dominance in Iranian airspace, according to Sanam Vakil, who leads analysis of the Middle East at Chatham House, a London-based research group. Though Israel hopes to prompt its collapse, the Iranian government remains in full control of Iran and still has substantial stocks of ballistic missiles, even if Israel has limited its ability to fire some of them.
“I don’t see any surrender coming from Tehran right now — there are no white flags being waved,” said Dr. Vakil. “It’s very hard to see Iran walking back its enrichment rights while Iran’s program still looks operational and Iran is intact as a state,” she added. “Their goal is to survive, to inflict damage and show their resilience.”
Much depends on how President Trump reacts. Unlike Israel, the United States has the munitions and the aircraft to destroy Fordo. Analysts like Mr. Shapiro say that Mr. Trump could consider such an approach if Iran chooses to accelerate its efforts to build a nuclear bomb instead of reaching a compromise.
“That will create a critical decision point for Trump, about whether the United States should intervene,” Mr. Shapiro said.
It may also now be easier for Mr. Trump to intervene without serious security consequences, given that Israel’s attacks have already degraded Iran’s defensive abilities.
Others say that Mr. Trump is likelier to avoid direct confrontation with Iran unless the Iranian military shifts its attacks from Israel to U.S. interests and personnel in the Middle East, narrowing Mr. Trump’s room for maneuver. Since Friday, Iran has avoided providing such a pretext for U.S. involvement, and has also avoided attacks on the U.S.’s other allies in the region, including Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.
The president’s statements since Friday indicate that his current preference is to use Israel’s military gains as leverage for renewed talks with Tehran.
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For months, Mr. Trump has overseen negotiations with Iran, hoping that Tehran would agree to end its enrichment program without Israel’s military intervention.
Those talks stumbled after Iran refused to back down. In comments over the weekend, Mr. Trump suggested that Iran, chastened by Israel’s attacks, might finally make compromises that its had not previously considered. As a result, some analysts say that Mr. Trump could press Israel to end its attacks — when and if he judges that Iran has become more malleable.
“This will end when Trump decides to end it, which will probably happen when he thinks Iran is ready to compromise,” said Yoel Guzansky, an expert on Iran at the Institute for National Security Studies in Tel Aviv.
Such a U-turn has historical precedent, even if it feels unlikely for now, experts said. The Iranian leadership made a similarly unexpected compromise at the end of the Iran-Iraq war in the 1980s, according to Meir Javedanfar, who teaches Iranian studies at Reichman University in Israel. After rejecting numerous offers to end the war, Ayatollah Khomeini eventually agreed to a deal after the costs of the war became too great, Dr. Javedanfar said.
“Khomeini made a 180-degree change,” he said. “This is again what Israel is hoping for.”
But history also suggests this may take time. The deal that ended the Iran-Iraq war took eight years to reach.
Gabby Sobelman in Rehovot, Israel; Myra Noveck in Jerusalem and Johnatan Reiss in Tel Aviv contributed reporting.
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Avishag Shaar-Yashuv
By the time I arrived at the underground train station in Ramat Gan, Israel, last night at around 10 p.m., there were already more than 200 people inside. Most were there because they did not have access to a safe room at home.
While some came specifically during missile alerts, many clearly intended to stay the whole night. Families with children and dogs picked spots. Some brought mattresses and sleeping bags, but many made do with blankets. People passed the time by working on laptops, reading books and playing cards — trying to maintain a sense of routine, or distract themselves, in the midst of uncertainty.
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Sirens blared in some parts of Israel warning of what the Israeli military says is an incoming missile from Yemen, sending people rushing for shelters and safe rooms. The alarms were a reminder that Israelis have faced missile fire from both Iran and the Iranian-backed Houthi militia in northern Yemen since Israel started attacking Iran.
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Iranian strikes on populated areas of Israel overnight killed at least eight people, the local authorities said on Monday, as Israel’s military attacked military sites in Iran and the four-day-old conflict between the Middle East’s two most powerful militaries showed no sign of slowing.
Four of the people died when a missile hit a residential block in the central Israeli city of Petah Tikva, and three more in Haifa, the local authorities said. An 80-year-old man died when his home collapsed as a result of a shock wave from a strike in Bnei Brak, a city east of Tel Aviv.
Sigal Kovalski, 47, who lives in Petah Tikva, said that she and her family heard an explosion and saw dust trickling into the room where they were sheltering. When they emerged, they found their apartment completely ruined.
“The windows were broken, the floor was covered with shattered glass and the furniture was in pieces,” she said.
Photos and videos from Petah Tikva showed a high-rise residential building with several floors blackened and visibly blown outward, with concrete and debris dangling from the blast site.
Nearly 100 people were injured across central Israel on Monday, including in Haifa and Tel Aviv, and search and rescue operations were continuing, according to Magen David Adom, the national emergency service.
Iranian missiles also hit Israel’s largest oil refinery, in Haifa Bay in northern Israel, according to footage verified by The New York Times. Firefighters were trying to contain a blaze ignited by the strike and to rescue people trapped in the area, said Tal Volvovitch, a spokeswoman for the Israel Fire and Rescue Authority.
The attacks followed a day of strikes on multiple locations in Iran and Israel, including a rare daytime Israeli air raid on Tehran that caused casualties and damage to buildings and infrastructure. Internet traffic from Iran dropped significantly, according to NetBlocks, an internet monitoring group. That left many Iranians unable to contact emergency services or connect with the outside world.
The fighting, which began on Friday with an Israeli attack on Iran, has been the fiercest and most prolonged between Israel and Iran in decades. It has stoked fears of a wider regional conflict that could draw in the United States and other powers.
The Israeli strikes have killed at least 224 people in Iran, according to the country’s health ministry. Several top Iranian security chiefs are among the dead, and more than 1,400 people have been injured.
In Israel, at least 21 people have been killed in Iran’s retaliatory barrages since Friday, according to the national emergency service.
Minor damage was reported near the U.S. Embassy branch office in Tel Aviv following “concussions of Iranian missile hits nearby.” No injuries to American personnel have been reported and the U.S. Embassy in Israel and its consulate will remain officially closed today amid a current shelter in place order, Ambassador Mike Huckabee posted on social media this morning.
Iranian missiles hit Israel’s largest oil refinery in the country, located in Haifa Bay, northern Israel, according to footage verified by the Times. Firefighters are trying to contain a fire ignited by the strike and rescue people trapped in the area, said Tal Volvovitch a spokeperson for the Israel Fire and Rescue Services.
For a second night, Iran has struck an apartment building in Israel. At least three people are dead in Petach Tikva, a city in central Israel, according to a spokesperson for the city’s municipality. At least 67 others were injured at four sites across central Israel, according to Magen David Adom, the country’s national emergency service.
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Israeli police said they have received reports from two communities in the Tel Aviv area, below, that appear to have been hit early Monday. “At this stage, no reports of casualties have been received, but property damage has been caused,” the police said.
The municipality of the central Israeli city of Petah Tikva said that a building there had been hit in the latest Iranian strike.
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Where to go? What to do? Is my neighborhood safe?
As deadly Israeli strikes rain down on Iran, these are among the questions desperate and confused Iranians are asking as they search for guidance. Amid swirling rumors and a dearth of official information, many Iranians have started relying on one another to share tips and safety information.
“My biggest concern is nothing other than radioactive leaks and the bombing of areas that have nuclear facilities. I haven’t personally received any official guidance,” Ilya, 28, from the city of Karaj, near Tehran, said via text. Ilya asked to be identified only by his first name for security reasons.
The surprise attacks on Iran, which began on Friday, have highlighted the country’s apparent lack of preparedness for war — including its paucity of shelters, bunkers or functioning air-raid sirens. Without much clear direction from the government, Iranian musicians, artists, chefs and influencers have been sharing infographics on social media with titles including “What You Should Do if You’re in the Metro During an Airstrike” or “How to Speak to Children in War Times.”
Several people in Iran whom The New York Times messaged and spoke with said they were unsure whether to go to work or whether students should go to school — a fraught dilemma at the height of final exam season.
Many Iranians are unsure of what information they can trust and what to believe — regardless of whether it comes from the government or from unofficial channels.
“I keep seeing Instagram stories with guidance and information but they don’t have a clear source and are pretty scattered,” Ilya said. He added:
“Honestly, I don’t know which ones are accurate and which aren’t, because it’s all scattered and unclear, and everyone seems to have their own opinion.”
In family WhatsApp groups, confusion abounded. Many comments came from Iranian women who cited their experience during the Iran-Iraq war in the 1980s, offering tips to distinguish the sounds of strikes from those of air-defense interceptions, to help inform their current situation. Other people have struggled to access the internet, with communication networks in the country increasingly spotty.
On Sunday, the third consecutive day of Israeli attacks, the Iranian government stressed that measures were being taken to protect the population.
“Mosques are shelters for all people, and starting tonight, the metros will also open so that people can have access to safe spaces 24/7,” said Fatemeh Mohajerani, a government spokeswoman, referring to Tehran’s rapid transit system, which is mostly underground. In remarks carried by Iranian news media, she added that many schools could also be used as shelters.
It was unclear, though, how many people would be reassured. Long lines formed at gas stations in Tehran, the capital, and the city’s roads were choked with traffic as terrified families scrambled to leave.
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In Isfahan, a city in central Iran that has been struck by the Israeli military campaign, one woman, Farangis, said she tried on Saturday night to convince a friend to join her in leaving the city for a village further south.
“Just like last time,” Farangis, who is in her 70s, said she told her friend. That was all that Farangis, who for security reasons asked that only her first name be used, needed to say: Decades ago, both women had fled their homes when Iraq was bombing Iran.
But her friend refused, Farangis said, saying that she could not leave her children and grandchildren — who had “school and work that doesn’t seem to have been canceled.”
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The Israeli military appears to have destroyed an Iranian refueling plane at an Iranian airport 1,400 miles from Israel, close to Iran’s borders with Turkmenistan and Afghanistan, according to satellite imagery and a video analyzed by The New York Times. The attack is an indication of how deep into Iranian territory Israel is capable of striking.
A satellite image captured in the early afternoon Sunday before the attack shows an intact Boeing 707 in the military section of the airport in Mashhad.
A few hours later, a spokesman for the Israeli military posted a photo of a plane at the same location engulfed in flames and confirmed the military had attacked the airport. “The Air Force is operating to achieve aerial superiority across all of Iran,” he said in the statement.
#عاجل ❌ على بعد نحو 2300 كيلومتر عن إسرائيل - سلاح الجو يهاجم قبل قليل طائرة إيرانية للتزود بالوقود في مطار مشهد شرق إيران. سلاح الجو يعمل لتحقيق تفوق جوي في جميع أنحاء إيران.
الحديث عن أبعد هجوم يشنها سلاح الجو منذ بداية عملية #الأسد_الصاعد pic.twitter.com/F1ybPSXlEv
The location of the attack, at Mashhad Airport in the far east of the country, shows “at the very least that Israel can hit just about any target it wants in Iran,” said Afshon Ostovar, an Iran military expert at the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, Calif.
Dr. Ostovar added that the attack is a sign “that most if not all of the country’s major air defenses have either been destroyed, made inoperable, or are otherwise unable to protect Iran’s airspace from Israeli jets.”
The Iranian Air Force only has seven refueling planes, according to a 2024 annual report on air forces globally by FlightGlobal, an aviation industry website.
But Dr. Ostovar said that taking the plane out will not affect Iran’s air operations. These aircraft — which are Boeing 707s — are used to refuel fighter jets and other planes while they’re in the air, which Dr. Ostovar said Iran does not currently do.
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American consumers are likely to start feeling the impact of the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran, as more expensive oil causes prices at the gas pump to rise.
Global oil prices where choppy on Monday, hovering around $74 a barrel, after Israel struck several Iranian oil and gas facilities over the weekend. Those included one of the world’s largest natural gas fields, known as South Pars; Tehran’s main gas depot; and an oil refinery.
But the strikes have not yet meaningfully affected the flow of oil in the region, which is a key energy transit hub, said Tom Kloza, chief market analyst for Turner, Mason & Company, an energy consulting firm.
Oil prices gained about 11 percent last week. That alone could cause gasoline prices to rise about 20 cents a gallon in the coming weeks, according to ClearView Energy Partners, a Washington research firm.
Crude oil and fuels like gasoline and diesel had been relatively cheap leading up to Israel’s strikes on Iran, which could cushion the blow to consumers. A gallon of regular gasoline costs $3.14 on average, down from $3.45 this time last year, according to the AAA motor club.
How Iran responds to Israel’s latest strikes will have a big effect on oil prices. The country is a large oil producer and its position on the northern side of the Strait of Hormuz, a major thoroughfare for oil and liquefied natural gas, or L.N.G., means that it could severely disrupt global energy markets.
If Iran were to close the waterway connecting the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman for even a short time, oil prices could rise anywhere from $8 to $31 a barrel, according to ClearView Energy Partners.
“Escalation of the conflict presents many supply risks, but — at peril of stating the obvious — the greatest is probably an Iranian closure of the Strait of Hormuz to maritime energy cargoes,” the firm’s analysts wrote on Saturday.
Iran has an economic incentive to allow tankers to continue passing through the strait, as it ships oil through that channel, much of it to China.
And although the United States has been buying less and less oil from the Persian Gulf, the commodity is traded globally, leaving consumers and businesses exposed to price increases. Should U.S. oil companies respond to higher prices by drilling more, it would still take many months for that oil to start flowing.
Farnaz Fassihi contributed reporting.
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Israel’s powerful strikes that targeted Iran’s nuclear infrastructure and killed senior military officials have been underpinned by its ability to traverse Iran’s skies without significant disruptions, according to current and former Israeli officials.
Israeli fighter jets have been able to repeatedly strike sensitive targets across Iran, including in the capital, Tehran, after destroying much of Iran’s air defenses. The dynamic has left Iran struggling to defend itself as Israel launches the biggest attack in its history against the Islamic Republic.
“We have opened up the skies of Iran, achieving near-air superiority,” Yechiel Leiter, Israel’s ambassador to the United States, said on social media.
Still, Israel does not have complete freedom of operation in Iran, and Iranian officials have claimed to have shot down Israeli drones in recent days.
Some of Iran’s air defense systems remain intact, requiring Israeli pilots to navigate through carefully mapped aerial corridors, according to an Israeli defense official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive information. The Israeli military, the official said, relies on real-time intelligence to track possible threats to its aircraft as they enter and exit Iranian airspace.
At least 128 people in Iran have been killed, according to the country’s health service. The toll included top security chiefs, nuclear scientists and civilians.
Opening up Iran’s airspace was a gradual process. During two clashes with Iran in April and October of last year, Israeli security forces struck important air-defense systems. In the October attack, Israel hit four S-300 systems, according to Yoav Gallant, the Israeli defense minister at the time.
Since Friday, Israel has continued to target Iran’s air defenses, carving out a pathway for Israeli fighter jets to reach Tehran freely, according to two Israeli military officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss operational details. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told Fox News in an interview on Sunday that Israel had worked to “peel off the layers of protection” of Iranian defenses.
Israeli aircraft, in turn, now have the ability to fly through much of Iranian airspace almost as easily as they can over Lebanon and Syria, according to Zohar Palti, a former senior official in Mossad, Israel’s foreign intelligence service.
“Let’s say I have a target that I missed or that I’m not happy with the result,” said Mr. Palti, now an international fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. “I can go back tomorrow and the day after tomorrow again, again, and again.”
Even Iranian officials have acknowledged shortcomings in their defenses.
In private text messages shared with The New York Times on Friday, some officials were angrily asking one another, “Where is our air defense?” and “How can Israel come and attack anything it wants, kill our top commanders, and we are incapable of stopping it?”
Farnaz Fassihi contributed reporting to this article.

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