Ben SolakJun 10, 2025, 06:25 AM ET
- Ben Solak joined ESPN successful 2024 arsenic a nationalist NFL analyst. He antecedently covered the NFL astatine The Ringer, Bleeding Green Nation and The Draft Network.
Summer is ever a bully clip to spell backmost to past year's rookies and reappraisal however they performed -- I conscionable did truthful for the 2024 wide receiver class. For the 2024 backmost class, though, I needed nary excuse. Five of the six first-rounders saw crippled enactment past season, and each of them bring fascinating storylines into Year 2. Can Jayden Daniels repetition -- oregon adjacent amended -- upon his stellar season? What volition Caleb Williams look similar unshackled from the doomed Matt Eberflus era? What tin 3 starts archer america astir Michael Penix Jr.'s abrupt emergence to QB1 successful Atlanta?
It is not an exaggeration to see this class, which besides includes Drake Maye and Bo Nix and J.J. McCarthy successful the apical 12 picks, connected par with the 2018 people that delivered Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, and Baker Mayfield (and Sam Darnold, if we are to judge his vocation resurgence). Williams, Daniels, Maye and Nix each showed plentifulness of impervious that they'll beryllium semipermanent starters successful the league, and Penix and McCarthy each person reasons to stock successful specified belief.
I asked 1 pressing question astir each of the rising sophomore quarterbacks, past tried my champion to reply it.
Jump to a question about:
Daniels | Maye | McCarthy
Nix | Penix | Rattler | Williams
Is it clip to panic astir Caleb Williams?
With Williams, it is important to statesman with a reminder. Watch this third-and-14 precocious successful the play against the Lions.
— Good Clips (@MeshSitWheel) June 9, 2025This is an impossibly hard throw. I'm not adjacent definite however you thatch this throw. Many right-handed quarterbacks marque acrobatic, momentum-defining throws moving to their right, which is intuitive -- the throwing limb is inactive back, and the rotation of the hips and trunk are inactive progressive successful generating powerfulness for the throw. To entree this overmuch velocity, portion throwing an close shot distant from coverage, connected the tally to the left? That is eye-popping stuff.
It is important to statesman present due to the fact that determination person been galore mediocre rookie seasons from early-drafted quarterbacks successful the past respective years, and a wide scope of vocation results to follow.
Jared Goff successful 2016. Mitchell Trubisky (oh look -- a Bear!) successful 2017. Trevor Lawrence, Zach Wilson and Justin Fields (another Bear!) successful 2021. Kenny Pickett successful 2022 and Bryce Young successful 2023. And present Caleb Williams successful 2024.
Among 40 quarterbacks with astatine slightest 200 dropbacks past season, Williams ranked 33rd successful occurrence rate, 30th successful EPA per dropback and 32nd successful adjusted nett yards per effort -- beauteous rough. Perhaps astir concerning? His off-target complaint of 21% -- lone Anthony Richardson Sr. missed a higher percent of his throws -- and his sack complaint is 10%, which was amended than lone Will Levis and Deshaun Watson.
But against immoderate of those genuinely harrowing debut seasons, Williams really holds up OK. Forty-six rookie first-round quarterbacks person taken astatine slightest 200 dropbacks successful the past 20 years. Among those 46 seasons, Williams ranked 29th successful occurrence rate, 25th successful EPA per dropback and 26th successful adjusted nett yards per effort -- conscionable beneath average. His sack complaint was inactive perilously precocious (43rd), but his off-target complaint was overmuch person to mean (29th).
It is casual to consciousness similar the entity is falling aft Williams' rookie year, arsenic helium failed to scope specified precocious expectations, portion the subordinate drafted straight aft him (Jayden Daniels) had 1 of the champion rookie seasons successful history. But the entity is not falling. It's OK. There are surely problems, but it's OK.
Let's comparison Williams' 2024 to Young's 2023 season, which was truthful concerning that I thought his vocation was implicit earlier it began -- successful fact, I wrote that the doorway was shut connected his vocation erstwhile helium was benched successful Week 2 of past season. (He would proceed to instantly marque maine look precise stupid, but that is simply a communal capable occurrence it is hardly worthy remarking upon here.)
Young makes a peculiarly bully examination for Williams due to the fact that determination are akin stylistic components to their rookie years. Both took a batch of sacks (in portion due to the fact that of precocious unit rates down atrocious violative lines, and successful portion due to the fact that they panicked nether pressure). Neither threw the shot precise acold downfield and avoided interceptions successful their caution. Both held the shot for excessively agelong successful the pouch and relied connected scrambles, progressively truthful arsenic the play went on, to relationship for their deficiencies elsewhere.
On the different hand, 2023 Young is not peculiarly adjuvant to knowing 2024 Williams. Young is not physically susceptible of making that propulsion against the Lions. Put simply, fewer quarterbacks are.
You person to benignant done a batch of trash -- poorly designed screens, undecipherable walk extortion choices, disinterested routes, horrendous crippled absorption -- successful your dumpster diving, but it's not hard to find much plays similar the archetypal from Williams. There's the absurd D'Andre Swift teardrop up the sideline against the Vikings. The across-his-body laser to Rome Odunze successful the two-minute drill against the Packers. The hole changeable against the Commanders connected what should person been the go-ahead drive.
The aforesaid preternatural, unteachable worldly that got Williams drafted No. 1 is inactive there. It's not adjacent that acold beneath the surface.
As such, predicting a immense sophomore leap for Williams is not difficult. If Young tin spot specified accelerated maturation successful his crippled down an improved violative enactment and successful the hands of a competent violative coaching staff, truthful tin Williams with akin changes. The archetypal nonsubjective for new coach Ben Johnson, violative coordinator Declan Doyle and the remainder of that violative encephalon spot volition beryllium the installation of casual buttons into a Bears discourtesy weirdly devoid of them successful 2024. The champion grooming wheels you tin connect to an NFL discourtesy these days are play-action fakes and pre-snap motion. Last season's Bears ranked 30th successful play-action complaint and 21st successful question rate. (Not for nothing: Johnson's Lions ranked archetypal and 5th past year, respectively.)
Their improvements volition deed a ceiling if Williams doesn't personally negociate the biggest wart successful his existent game: the sack rate. He led the league successful unit dropbacks past play with 227, and that earthy measurement matters. The much a backmost gets hit, the harder it is to spot his violative line, and atrocious pouch habits blossom oregon worsen. But his 33.5% unit complaint was conscionable supra league average, and helium was sacked connected 30% of his pressures, which again was amended than lone Levis and Watson past season. This is connected him.
Williams' absorption of unit was a predictably rookie error. He was accustomed to his play spot and quickness getting him retired of occupation unfailingly astatine the assemblage level, and helium rapidly discovered the chasm betwixt NFL athletes and assemblage ones. But habits dice hard, and it's improbable helium abruptly becomes a dink-and-dunk distributor astatine the archetypal motion of pressure. You don't get the unthinkable throws supra without risking a fewer sacks, conscionable arsenic you don't get an omelet without breaking a fewer eggs. The sack complaint should improve, though Williams volition stay a high-sack player. So agelong arsenic the interception complaint stays debased (maybe not 0.9%, a ridiculously beardown number), helium volition collectively nutrient a workable fig of antagonistic plays. No request to panic.
What's not to emotion with Jayden Daniels?
What much is determination to accidental astir Daniels? Among rookie backmost seasons implicit the past 20 years (min. 200 dropbacks), helium ranked 3rd successful occurrence complaint and sixth successful EPA per play. He acceptable the grounds for rookie rushing yards with 891 connected the backmost of possibly the champion scrambling play of any QB. He scrambled 70 times, which is the astir successful a azygous play this period and astir apt ever (we don't person the information to separate betwixt scrambles and designed runs earlier 2006). His 40.76 full EPA collected connected scrambles is ranked 3rd to 2022 Justin Fields and 2022 Josh Allen, some of whom conscionable bushed him successful archetypal downs (34 and 32 to Daniels' 31) but truly outdistanced him successful touchdowns (three apiece, to Daniels' one).
The champion trait Daniels carried with him from assemblage is his twitch successful the pocket. Paradoxically, erstwhile he's lasting inactive successful the pocket, he's 1 of the astir unsafe athletes successful the league because helium hasn't moved yet. Unblocked blitzers oregon winning walk rushers travel barreling down, and Daniels is abruptly gone done 1 of respective nooks oregon crannies.
His quickness is not conscionable astonishing -- it's unique. Most of the league's champion athletes and flight artists astatine backmost -- Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Kyler Murray, Jalen Hurts -- triumph with explosiveness and bulk, surviving glancing interaction earlier sprinting to space. Even Lamar Jackson, possibly the champion modern examination to Daniels (though it's inactive not that good), has bulked up implicit his clip successful the league to amended endure contact. Daniels' stringy physique and receiver-like twitch makes him slippery, starring not conscionable to intolerable escapes but besides productive runs after.
— Good Clips (@MeshSitWheel) June 6, 2025Watch this play closely. It looks casual lone due to the fact that Daniels makes it so. Not lone is determination a collapsing pouch with unit disconnected the close side, but determination is besides a backmost spy meant to adjacent connected him aft the archetypal unit condenses his space. The full volition down this unreserved program is to guarantee determination isn't country to escape. Daniels inactive flows similar h2o done the smallest ace and isn't adjacent touched until he's 20 yards downfield.
Perhaps arsenic awesome arsenic the carnal crippled connected his scrambles is the intelligence acuity with which helium selects them. Daniels scrambled connected 11.8% of his dropbacks -- the seventh-highest complaint since 2000. He scrambled connected 24.7% of his pressured dropbacks -- the highest complaint since astatine slightest 2000.
A precocious scramble complaint tin item a passer with mediocre pouch absorption and unit response, arsenic good arsenic unrewarding results connected existent throws (looking astatine you, 2022 Fields and 2018 Allen). In Daniels, cipher could marque the lawsuit his scramble-first quality is to mediocre ends. Yes, helium leaves plays connected the tract -- it's inevitable. But the discernment with which helium chooses erstwhile to tuck and tally oregon erstwhile to escape, widen and propulsion is, frankly, shocking for a rookie. Instincts are expected to make implicit time, but Daniels' knack for in-play absorption was reminiscent of Allen and Jackson -- the scramblers who've been doing this for the amended portion of a decade.
On pressured dropbacks connected which Daniels actually attempted a walk -- removing sacks and scrambles from the equation -- helium rocked. He ranked 4th successful aerial yards per attempt, sixth successful off-target rate, seventh successful yards per dropback and 5th successful adjusted nett yards per attempt. The feline who was the champion scrambler successful the league was besides a top-10 passer erstwhile helium elected to bent successful determination against pressure.
This doesn't conscionable instrumentality toughness -- it besides takes shot IQ. I loved this third-and-6 against the Buccaneers successful the wild-card round.
— Good Clips (@MeshSitWheel) June 6, 2025Watch Daniels alteration the extortion astatine the enactment of scrimmage pre-snap. Knowing helium has Terry McLaurin connected a vertical way to his left, helium afloat slides the extortion right. In the lawsuit that the blitz comes from the left, Daniels volition beryllium blistery -- but he'll astir surely person a one-on-one with McLaurin, and his spot and chemistry with McLaurin was unimpeachable past play connected heavy throws. If the blitz comes from the right, Daniels volition beryllium protected -- and portion the Buccaneers defence volition apt person assistance implicit McLaurin now, helium tin enactment done his progressions oregon interruption the pouch to extend.
Daniels keeps the information successful the mediate of the tract conscionable agelong enough, hits the backmost ft of his driblet and makes an accurate, on-time propulsion with nary hitch. That's seasoned quarterbacking successful a archetypal playoff start. They don't marque 'em similar that each year.
There is small uncertainty successful my caput Daniels' rookie play was the existent stuff, but it's worthy remarking that conscionable astir everything broke good for Washington. Take the heavy balls to McLaurin: His 40% drawback complaint connected downfield throws was his champion since his rookie play successful 2019, and his 27.6 full EPA connected downfield targets much than doubled his next-best. Deep passes are high-risk, high-reward plays connected tiny samples, which means regression is likely.
Also large for regression was the fourth-down success, adjacent for arsenic clutch arsenic Daniels is. The Commanders converted 87% of their fourth-down attempts successful the regular play (20-for-23), which is the champion fourth-down play since astatine slightest 2000. Washington added 44.3 EPA connected fourth-down attempts, the highest fig since 2000 and a fig that astir surely volition not beryllium repeated adjacent season.
I don't bring these up to instrumentality distant from Daniels, but alternatively to insulate america from a C.J. Stroud-esque sophomore tumble successful the nationalist eye. Stroud was each that and a container of chips aft his rookie season, and helium started his 2nd play nether the aforesaid violative coordinator, down the aforesaid enactment and throwing to the aforesaid accomplishment players (with a mates of breathtaking additions successful Stefon Diggs and Joe Mixon).
Things fell apart, arsenic they often bash successful the league. Shaky violative enactment endowment snowballed with coordinator errors, and violative injuries threw Stroud close into a sophomore slump, contempt the movie showing the aforesaid aggressive, talented passer who starred arsenic a rookie. There are a batch of worlds wherever the 2025 Commanders get the aforesaid stupendous play from Daniels but look worse connected discourtesy contempt the keystone pieces they instrumentality and the additions they made this offseason.
The last enactment for Daniels was well-covered past season: A rib injury, suffered against the Panthers successful Week 7, intelligibly lingered and affected his play. The lone happening that tin genuinely derail this steam bid of a vocation is that which ever looms implicit diversion quarterbacks: injury. Continuing to descent and debar hits should stay the archetypal precedence successful his game.
Could Drake Maye get immoderate help?
I had good and genuinely forgotten conscionable however atrocious the Patriots discourtesy was astir Maye past season. He had without question the worst violative enactment of the rookie quarterbacks, and I would wager the worst violative enactment of immoderate quarterback. From Week 6 on, helium had much speedy pressures (under 2.5 seconds) than immoderate passer prevention for Joe Burrow -- and Burrow had 124 much dropbacks. Maye's wide unit complaint of 37.3% was exceeded lone by Deshaun Watson -- but it was not the merchandise of extended dropbacks, arsenic Maye got the shot retired faster than the league mean passer.
Perhaps adjacent much debilitating to the discourtesy was the line's show successful the tally game. On moving backmost carries, the Patriots averaged 4.0 yards per unreserved (only 5 teams were worse), but lone had an expected yards per transportation of 3.7 yards per unreserved (no teams were worse). The Patriots backs were creating yardage conscionable to get to 4.0 yards per carry! That's however poorly this enactment operated successful the moving game.
That qualifier is precise important, however: moving backmost carries. Because the QB carries were excellent. Maye scrambled connected 10.8% of his dropbacks, 2nd lone to Daniels among quarterbacks. Maye's 9.0 yards per scramble exceeded Daniels' 8.1, arsenic did his explosive tally complaint (37.8% to 27.1%). I'm not taking Maye earlier Daniels were I moving a triple-option offense, nor is anyone other -- but Maye's important scrambling achievements person gotten mislaid successful Daniels' humanities shadow. Smart coaches would commencement including him successful the enactment moving crippled arsenic a big-bodied, vertical runner à la Josh Allen oregon Jalen Hurts.
Unlike Allen and Hurts (and conscionable astir immoderate genuinely unsafe backmost successful the modern NFL), Maye struggled to make explosives done the air. He was highly businesslike -- eighth successful occurrence complaint among each rookie quarterbacks since 2000 -- but 22nd successful EPA per dropback and 47th successful explosive play rate. His longest completion was a 40-yarder. Ironically, it was his archetypal NFL touchdown walk successful his archetypal vocation start, and not astatine each a portent of things to come.
Not lone could the Patriots not support Maye agelong capable to fto routes make downfield, but they besides lacked a receiver who could marque a play there. Of his 32 downfield targets past season, 14 went to Kayshon Boutte, a 2023 sixth-round prime who hauled successful precisely 3 of those targets. The adjacent 2 astir often targeted were a brace of choky ends: Hunter Henry with five, and Austin Hooper with four. Neither Henry nor Hooper successful their premier were the benignant of choky ends who stretched the tract connected vertical routes. Last season? It was challenging to watch.
So Maye lived moving speedy crippled concepts, picking a broadside and going done reads. Nearly three-quarters of Maye's targets (73.4%) were wrong 10 yards of the enactment of scrimmage, down lone Tua Tagovailoa, Russell Wilson and Gardner Minshew -- not large company. This is particularly worrisome due to the fact that of the yards-after-catch athletes disposable to Tagovailoa (De'Von Achane, Tyreek Hill and Jonnu Smith) and Minshew (Brock Bowers, Brock Bowers and Brock Bowers). The Patriots were doing this with Henry, DeMario Douglas and Kendrick Bourne.
As such, galore Maye dropbacks looked similar this second-and-5 against Houston. This should beryllium mirrored instrumentality concepts, but rookie receiver Ja'Lynn Polk gets his way incorrect to the bottommost of the screen. No substance -- Maye is looking successful the different direction. But the Texans are trapping the retired way from the choky end, comfy with sitting a information connected Boutte's vertical way -- helium doesn't interest them much.
— Good Clips (@MeshSitWheel) June 6, 2025Maye separates to throw, but helium sees the squatting country and thinks amended of it. There's unit disconnected his close tackle, truthful helium climbs, races the antiaircraft tackle to the corner, wins and turns a play dormant connected accomplishment into a 15-yard gain.
Maye makes accelerated decisions and has a large consciousness for improvisation. He made 1 of my favourite plays from immoderate QB this play connected an out-of-structure throw against dense unit from Buffalo. Watch Maye abort the play-action fake to Antonio Gibson arsenic helium sees the linebacker blitz with cleanable timing close down the pipe. He abandons his driblet but keeps some hands connected the shot and retains a consciousness of timing, too. He holds the shot agelong capable to propulsion the receiver unfastened connected the break, and makes a high-difficulty walk against his momentum and successful the look of pressure. Can't thatch it.
Drake Maye and Antonio Gibson some spot the blitz (great timing from Dorian Williams) and abort the play-action fake.
Then Maye makes an off-platform, out-of-rhythm, against his momentum propulsion to the mediate of the tract for a chunk gain.
Young man's got it. pic.twitter.com/1jn0XI9uiL
I americium each spot arsenic definite Maye has got it arsenic I americium that Daniels has got it oregon that Stroud had it arsenic a rookie (and inactive does). Some guys instantly wide the requisite barroom of poise, limb talent, shot processing and diversion ability. There's nary uncertainty successful my caput Maye's going to beryllium a bully starter successful this league.
Just however good, and conscionable erstwhile it produces bully offense, depends connected the different guys. Maye has a new violative coordinator (Josh McDaniels) and immoderate much-needed violative enactment help, but I wouldn't telephone the Patriots' roster inspiring. Nearly each of the eggs successful the field-stretching hunt are successful the handbasket of third-round rookie receiver Kyle Williams. Stefon Diggs, disconnected an ACL tear and entering his age-32 season, is the champion stake to pb the squad successful targets. Two caller tackles and a halfway should amended the line, but escaped bureau and the draught are ne'er definite things.
Do we truly cognize thing astir Michael Penix Jr.?
Lotta up, lotta down successful Penix's 3 starts to extremity the 2024 season. About what you'd expect from a rookie, particularly since those were his archetypal vocation starts. Had you paused Bo Nix's rookie play aft 3 starts, helium would person been 1-2 arsenic a starter with zero touchdown passes and 4 interceptions. Young players drastically amended crossed their archetypal 10 oregon 15 starts.
The champion of Penix showed a backmost with the timing, limb endowment and fearlessness indispensable to transportation retired and elevate coordinator Zac Robinson's Sean McVay-inspired offense. Penix is consenting to propulsion routes with anticipation to the sideline and implicit the mediate of the field, and helium has the velocity to currency those checks.
Penix besides gets it. You tin spot him place an advantageous matchup for Bijan Robinson pre-snap, past get him the shot accelerated retired of the flat; unfastened his caput 1 mode successful his dropback, manipulate a sum defender, past propulsion into that void. There is wide grounds of knowing and feel.
Here's a bully illustration connected third-and-6 against the Giants -- his archetypal start. Penix ever wants Darnell Mooney connected the slant, but helium indispensable interest astir linebackers dropping disconnected the enactment of scrimmage and occupying the window. He initially opens right, gets the linebacker to instrumentality 1 lateral measurement and past snaps his assemblage near earlier throwing with capable velocity to bushed the precise 'backer helium had conscionable relocated.
— Good Clips (@MeshSitWheel) June 6, 2025This is simply a peculiarly important play due to the fact that Penix was hardly asked to process and execute the speedy game. The shot came retired fast, don't get maine wrong: His 2.73-second clip to propulsion was 1 of the quickest releases of immoderate backmost successful 2024. But with 10.1 aerial yards per attempt, those speedy throws weren't going into the underneath areas -- they were going to one-on-one opportunities downfield.
Shot enactment is simply a large happening to ticker for Penix implicit his sophomore season. Of each the quarterbacks who attempted 100 passes -- again: Penix attempted lone 105, truthful it should beryllium taken with a ample atom of brackish -- nary passer threw spell balls oregon hitches much often (14.3% and 23.8% of each attempts, respectively). The Falcons mostly ran their basal offense, but Penix preferred to unrecorded successful isolation, throwing to backside receivers successful antheral sum alternatively of speechmaking retired the beforehand broadside of concepts. And successful that pursuit, helium was highly aggressive: 28.6% of his throws were to vertical routes (go, post, corner, wheel, etc.), which cleared 2nd spot (Anthony Richardson Sr. astatine 24.6%) by a decent margin.
Working each of these isolation shots is simply a highly defensible attack erstwhile Penix's No. 1 people is Drake London, who is simply 1 of the champion ball-winners successful football. But surviving and dying by the one-on-one matchup volition bounds immoderate offense, leaving nutrient connected the bony by tunneling connected 1 answer.
On this second-and-14 against the Commanders, Penix intelligibly wants London connected the excavation from the bottommost of the screen. At the past moment, helium realizes the anemic information is driving down, and the large station to Mooney should unfastened up astatine the apical of the surface for an adjacent bigger gain, and helium flips to it.
— Good Clips (@MeshSitWheel) June 6, 2025Penix separates his hands to throw, but he's down and Mooney is really nicely covered by the corner. Penix tries to travel backmost to London late, but helium has to relocate with the pouch breaking. He pumps, reasoning astir throwing either the excavation oregon the station (I can't tell) late, but realizes it isn't worthy the hazard and scrambles for 3 yards.
Stuck successful the mediate betwixt bird-dogging London and speechmaking the play out, Penix gets frozen. It's a rookie error, and casual to cleanable up. But arsenic overmuch arsenic London's dominance is simply a crutch successful bully ways (see: game-tying drive against the Commanders), it tin beryllium a crutch successful atrocious ways, too. I respect Penix's willingness to propulsion conscionable astir immoderate heavy way successful immoderate window, but I interest astir an offense's consistency erstwhile the backmost regularly forgoes underneath options connected aboriginal downs.
Growth for Penix this play looks similar a backmost successful amended bid of himself. With the starting occupation good successful hand, a bully enactment and a large moving game, helium does not request to deterioration the superhero cape to triumph games. Keeping the discourtesy connected docket and avoiding hugely antagonistic plays that unit third-and-longs is an integral portion of complementary football.
As always, it's amended to person a feline with gumption that you request to reel successful than it is to person a feline without ambition and effort to gully it retired of him. Because his rookie play was truthful short, I don't privation to gully immoderate large vocation arc conclusions too the obvious: Penix intelligibly has each the tools successful the toolbox, and there's immoderate sharpening inactive to do.
OK, bash we really cognize thing astir J.J. McCarthy?
Not much! Nineteen preseason snaps worth, to beryllium exact.
On those plays, McCarthy threw a bully backside excavation to Jalen Nailor, took a large changeable to bargain clip for Trishton Jackson connected a crosser, threw off-platform into a prime and lofted a beauteous heavy shot into a bucket for a touchdown. I stay wholly unconvinced there's thing meaningful successful these dropbacks against the Raiders' backups past August, but it's each I've had to watch.
We cognize McCarthy tore a meniscus, which tin beryllium a tricky betterment -- helium needed a second procedure successful November to code swelling from his archetypal surgery. We besides cognize the Vikings poked astir the seasoned backmost marketplace this offseason, though their request for a QB2 justifies that hunt much than immoderate deficiency of religion successful McCarthy arsenic QB1. And we besides cognize they had nary existent involvement successful extending Sam Darnold astatine marketplace price, which further implies they similar McCarthy. Then again, we cognize they traded up to instrumentality him with the No. 11 pick, truthful we didn't truly request overmuch impervious that they liked him.
1:44
McAfee: Vikings GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah's hold is simply a large deal
Pat McAfee reacts to the Vikings signing GM Kwesi Adofo-Mensah to a multiyear extension.
What other bash we know? We cognize that though there's nary specified happening arsenic a QB-proof offense, the Vikings are astir arsenic adjacent arsenic it gets. Their brace of casual separating receivers successful Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison are known for their way moving and quickness, but it's their shot tracking and drawback radius that truly marque them QB-friendly -- they erase inaccuracy, particularly down the field. The Vikings were 1 of the heaviest pre-snap question teams past season, arsenic good arsenic 1 of the heaviest play-action teams, and manager Kevin O'Connell pulls some levers to make casual reads for his quarterback. Minnesota's retooling of its interior violative enactment (drafted Donovan Jackson, signed Will Fries and Ryan Kelly) should pb to an betterment successful the moving crippled arsenic well, shortening third-down distances and reducing the fig of dropbacks for McCarthy arsenic helium ramps up to NFL speed.
It's important to spot however McCarthy looks, particularly connected the hoof aft his large genu injury. But arsenic agelong arsenic he's athletically back, determination are plentifulness of reasons for optimism.
How overmuch is Sean Payton consenting to enactment connected Bo Nix's plate?
In a people characterized by big-play hunters and prolific scramblers, Nix is simply a zag. Daniels, Williams and Maye invited pressures and risked taking sacks past season. Nix was pressured connected lone 28% of his dropbacks, and conscionable 13.4% of those pressures became sacks -- those numbers were beneath and way beneath league average, respectively. And it's not similar helium was getting the shot retired astatine lightning velocity -- 37.7% of his throws were retired successful little than 2.5 seconds, which was the lowest complaint of the 4 rookies.
So what was going on? For one, the Broncos person an elite violative enactment -- they could marque a beardown lawsuit for having the league's best. Nix was not comfy arsenic a pouch manager aboriginal successful the season, and he's inactive prone to breaking retired of cleanable pockets to effort to disrupt antiaircraft geometry. But arsenic helium gained religion down his line, helium got amended astatine settling in. It's casual to hide that the commencement to his vocation was highly unsmooth -- successful 3 of his archetypal 4 games, his dropback occurrence complaint was beneath 40% -- and it took immoderate violative tinkering from his manager to get him into a amended spot.
Time to propulsion was 1 of the large changes, arsenic Payton began shifting targets person to the enactment of scrimmage. From the archetypal fractional of the play to the 2nd half, Nix's clip to propulsion dropped from 3.1 to 2.9 seconds, and his aerial yards per effort fell from 7.9 to 6.6. Instead of 1 retired of each 4 walk attempts going down the enactment of scrimmage, 1 retired of each 3 did. In the backmost fractional of the season, nary backmost threw down the enactment much frequently.
To marque an discourtesy similar this -- 1 built connected swings, screens and checkdowns -- work, a backmost has to marque accelerated decisions and spot the playmakers. Payton drafted Nix successful ample portion for his on-field decision-making and his occurrence arsenic a quick, close distributor underneath successful college. He instantly delivered connected that evaluation.
Here's a third-and-11 connected which the Broncos person with a 12-yard summation from moving backmost Javonte Williams, who releases precocious aft helping successful walk protection. The Chargers' defence is constructed to marque opposing quarterbacks cheque it down -- they play their zones with plentifulness of depth, arsenic you spot present -- past rally and tackle. To bushed specified a defense, passers indispensable beryllium consenting to cheque down quickly. Get the shot into the hands of a receiver earlier the defence is acceptable to thrust connected him and tackle.
— Good Clips (@MeshSitWheel) June 6, 2025I'm assured 1 of these different young passers would person seen the skinny station from Marvin Mims Jr. and said, "You cognize what ... I tin astir apt deed that." And possibly they could have! Nix could too, but helium made the safer prime rapidly to get his squad astatine worst to a makeable 4th down. Better yet, a conversion.
It's existent that Payton made Nix much of a crippled manager arsenic the play went on, beating opponents connected the chalkboard earlier the shot was adjacent snapped. But Nix deserves his flowers for filling the constituent defender relation nicely. And arsenic his assurance grew, truthful did his effectiveness erstwhile his fig was called. The touchdown up the seam to Mims against the Browns. The other moon-ball touchdown to Mims against the Broncos. Nix volition uncork it erstwhile Payton dials up a changeable play, and that's a captious trait.
There is an evident level connected what the Broncos did offensively to decorativeness the season. Much of their cheesing with swings and screens was besides a merchandise of a mediocre moving game, which rookie second-round prime RJ Harvey is meant to solve. An improved handoff crippled volition springiness Nix easier play-action opportunities and region immoderate of the unit connected him to ever instrumentality the mean gain.
But the passing crippled volition ever deed a ceiling if Nix doesn't amended throwing to the layered areas of the tract -- betwixt 5 and 20 yards. He threw 12 interceptions connected the play -- not precisely game-manager numbers -- successful ample portion due to the fact that helium drives intermediate-breaking throws into pugnacious windows. He tin propulsion straight to defenders successful moments of panic; helium tin acquisition accuracy drain erstwhile helium puts his full assemblage into generating velocity; the shot tin dice connected him erstwhile helium tries to purpose it carefully.
Good illustration here. A wayward drawback and speedy unit from Myles Garrett unit Nix to accelerate his process. He throws to Troy Franklin connected the dig, but the shot doesn't person perfect zip and is down him. Franklin slows down, which creates clip and abstraction for the country to adjacent connected the drawback constituent and deflect it up for a pick.
— Good Clips (@MeshSitWheel) June 6, 2025Nix is beauteous overmuch arsenic billed coming retired of college. He's much than susceptible of moving an offense, but it's inactive uncertain if helium tin truly elevate one. I similar the mode the Broncos are bringing him along, though. You could spot his assurance increasing implicit time. As they proceed to amended their pass-catching corps, they tin springiness him much opportunities to enactment downfield. The developmental arc is there, arsenic agelong arsenic Payton tin enactment up of defenses agelong capable to support unit disconnected Nix's shoulders.
Is Spencer Rattler truly a origin successful the Saints' QB competition?
It would look unusual to interaction connected the apical six quarterbacks but not the seventh. Especially due to the fact that Rattler started much games than Penix and McCarthy. So, here's a connection connected Rattler.
I stay highly dubious that the backmost "battle" successful New Orleans is simply a existent competition. A new coaching staff helped select rookie Tyler Shough with the No. 40 pick, acold earlier than Rattler was chosen (150th) a twelvemonth ago. And though Rattler flexed his limb endowment astatine moments, helium mostly struggled to debar turnovers and sacks, throwing much interceptions (5) than touchdown passes (4). It's worthy noting that Rattler's starts came with some Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed absent from the lineup -- his starring targets were choky extremity Juwan Johnson, moving backmost Alvin Kamara and past wide receiver Dante Pettis. But Rattler's play work much to maine arsenic "career journeyman backup" than "viable starter." I wager we spot him commencement this twelvemonth lone if Shough struggles mightily oregon misses clip with injury.