Padres, M's see most betting action at deadline

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  • Doug GreenbergAug 1, 2025, 01:23 PM ET

After making immoderate of the biggest splashes of the MLB commercialized deadline, the San Diego Padres and Seattle Mariners emerged arsenic the biggest likelihood movers and astir fashionable selections for bettors successful the futures markets.

The Padres entered Thursday's deadline time with +3500 likelihood to triumph the World Series and promptly moved to +2500 aft acquiring pitchers Mason Miller and JP Sears from the Athletics; they moved further to +1600 aft getting archetypal baseman Ryan O'Hearn and outfielder Ramon Laureano from the Baltimore Orioles, according to ESPN BET odds. The squad besides moved from +1800 to +1200 to triumph the National League pennant.

The transactions themselves surely had immoderate power connected the enactment movement, but truthful excessively did the enactment coming connected them from the betting public. DraftKings reports that, since the deadline, San Diego has taken easy the astir wealth to triumph this season's World Series astatine 23%; adjacent closest is the New York Mets astatine 14%. ESPN BET says that the Pads person garnered 12.5% of the grip since Wednesday, third-most successful the league.

Bettors volition beryllium hoping that the big-time imaginable endowment San Diego surrendered volition beryllium worthy it this play -- and that it volition enactment retired amended than erstwhile attempts. At this year's deadline, the Padres traded distant 5 of their apical 7 prospects, and since 2014, they person traded distant eventual stars Trea Turner, Max Fried and James Wood, among others, during the season.

Meanwhile, the Mariners were +2500 to triumph the World Series earlier they acquired 3rd baseman Eugenio Suarez, arguably the biggest prize of the deadline, precocious Wednesday night. That transaction moved them to +2000, past they moved to +1400 aft acquiring archetypal baseman Josh Naylor from the Arizona Diamondbacks successful a abstracted transaction, per ESPN BET odds. They besides improved somewhat to triumph the American League pennant, going from +800 to +700.

Since Wednesday, Seattle is ESPN BET's most-bet squad with 18.6% of the tickets and 30.5% of the grip for the World Series market. Even excluding the momentum from the Suarez trade, DraftKings says that the Mariners person attracted a starring 17% of bets since the deadline.

Despite staying comparatively quiescent astatine the deadline, the Los Angeles Dodgers are inactive intelligibly the squad to bushed by the odds, showing +240 to triumph the World Series astatine ESPN BET; adjacent closest are the Detroit Tigers and Philadelphia Phillies tied astatine +850. The Chicago Cubs, Houston Astros, New York Yankees and Mets, who displayed varying degrees of enactment astatine the deadline, circular retired the apical likelihood astatine +1000.

But for each the teams that accrued their chances with commercialized deadline activity, determination were a fewer whose lines fell disconnected a cliff: The San Francisco Giants went from +4000 to 100-1 for the World Series, portion the Minnesota Twins, who had a veritable occurrence sale, went from 100-1 to 250-1.

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