NBA free agency intel: What's LeBron's endgame? Plus, is Denver back?

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  • Tim Bontemps

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    Tim Bontemps

    ESPN Senior Writer

      Tim Bontemps is simply a elder NBA writer for ESPN.com who covers the league and what's impacting it connected and disconnected the court, including commercialized deadline intel, enlargement and his MVP Straw Polls. You tin find Tim alongside Brian Windhorst and Tim MacMahon connected The Hoop Collective podcast.
  • Brian Windhorst

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    Brian Windhorst

    ESPN Senior Writer

    • ESPN.com NBA writer since 2010
    • Covered Cleveland Cavs for 7 years
    • Author of 2 books

Jul 4, 2025, 07:38 AM ET

The opening week of NBA escaped agency has, for the astir part, been dominated by idiosyncratic who isn't adjacent a escaped agent.

Not lone is LeBron James not a escaped agent, helium actively chose not to be.

"We recognize the trouble successful winning present portion preparing for the future. We bash privation to measure what's champion for LeBron astatine this signifier successful his beingness and career," Klutch Sports CEO Rich Paul told ESPN.

So wherever could James and the Los Angeles Lakers beryllium headed this summer? We'll dive into L.A.'s latest saga positive different quality and notes from astir the Association, with the archetypal fewer days of escaped bureau successful the books.


Where bash LeBron and the Lakers stand?

After making Jake LaRavia their apical precedence successful escaped bureau -- determination was really a tiny bidding warfare for the young backup guardant among respective teams, sources told ESPN -- the Lakers were holding astir $8 cardinal with the remains of their midlevel objection and watching halfway options specified arsenic Brook Lopez and Clint Capela travel disconnected the board.

Teams who had centers disposable were keeping their terms for the Lakers precocious erstwhile they called, sources said, aft they had established what they were consenting to wage for Mark Williams (in February's rescinded trade). In lawsuit you forgot, that terms was:

  • a young subordinate (2024 first-rounder Dalton Knecht)

  • L.A.'s unprotected first-round prime successful 2031

  • L.A.'s unprotected prime swap successful 2030

That was a motion of the desperation the Lakers felt to get a halfway to brace with Luka Doncic. And, 5 months later, the Lakers inactive recovered themselves without one. That was the lawsuit until the Lakers agreed to motion Deandre Ayton connected Wednesday, erstwhile helium cleared waivers pursuing his mildly astonishing buyout from the Portland Trail Blazers.

Ayton is acold from a cleanable option. There's a crushed helium was waived connected a max woody by Portland. But astatine the aforesaid time, the 2018 No. 1 prime is simply a endowment and arguably the second-best halfway to deed the unfastened marketplace this summertime too Myles Turner. But sources said Ayton could beryllium a affirmative enactment for the Lakers, and astatine minimum, a important upgrade connected past year's incumbent, Jaxson Hayes, whom the Lakers agreed to bring backmost arsenic Ayton's backup Thursday evening.

All of that, though, volition beryllium successful the inheritance arsenic we hold for the adjacent awesome arsenic to however James is feeling astir things -- thing we haven't learned thing much astir publically since Paul's cryptic connection to ESPN's Shams Charania.

The full situation, connected its face, is simply a confounding crippled of dueling passive-aggressive moves. James could've been a escaped cause had helium opted retired of the last twelvemonth of his contract, which, arsenic 1 enforcement said, would person been the mode to genuinely marque this a chaotic situation.

James alternatively opted to cod his money, and possibly conscionable arsenic importantly, support his no-trade clause. Doing truthful would look to person indicated helium expected to play his eighth play successful a Lakers uniform.

Paul's statement, however, near things up to interpretation. And since then, we haven't heard thing publically -- not from James, Paul oregon anyone with the Lakers, beryllium it wide manager Rob Pelinka, manager JJ Redick, politician Jeanie Buss oregon Mark Walter, who conscionable happened to wage respective cardinal dollars for the close to instrumentality implicit for Buss arsenic squad owner.

Not adjacent a connection from the Lakers formally announcing the enactment pickup, which considering James is 1 of the top players of each time, sent its ain nonverbal message.

So wherever bash things spell from here?

It's 1 of the biggest topics of speech astir the league. The conception of a commercialized is not intolerable -- nothing is intolerable successful the NBA aft the Doncic commercialized -- but it is improbable owed to James' ample wage and his no-trade clause.

There were a fewer inquiries from eyebrow-raised teams, sources said, conscionable to gauge whether this was thing oregon nothing. For now, determination is nary action. But it is surely being monitored.

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1:08

Shams: Deandre Ayton signing a 2-year woody with the Lakers

Shams Charania reports that Deandre Ayton is signing a two-year woody with the Lakers aft being bought retired by the Blazers.

The thought of buying retired James' declaration -- adjacent if helium gives backmost a chunk of wealth -- besides doesn't marque logical sense. This isn't the concern the Milwaukee Bucks were successful with Damian Lillard, a aboriginal Hall of Famer sitting retired with a torn near Achilles.

This is simply a subordinate who was second-team All-NBA past play for the Western Conference's No. 3 seed, and with a little than 100% mentation of Doncic. What bully would it bash for the Lakers to simply fto James walk?

In a league that's highly and intimately acquainted with unusual circumstances, fewer successful caller representation tin rival this one. But until James, oregon the Lakers, slams the doorway connected the thought of him playing elsewhere adjacent season, speculation volition continue.


How overmuch amended did Denver conscionable get?

It's been a engaged week for the Nuggets and their caller enforcement team, led by Ben Tenzer and Jon Wallace.

Not lone did the Nuggets plaything 1 of the bigger deals of the summertime -- Michael Porter Jr. and their 2032 unprotected first-round prime to the Brooklyn Nets for Cam Johnson -- but they besides traded Dario Saric for Jonas Valanciunas and signed Tim Hardaway Jr. and erstwhile Nugget Bruce Brown to capable retired the team's bench.

The Porter-Johnson woody shaved $34 cardinal disconnected Denver's payroll implicit the adjacent 2 seasons and took the Nuggets retired of the luxury taxation this season, wherever they were slated to beryllium successful the penal repeater tier. It was the Nuggets astir progressive offseason since 2022, the summertime earlier they won the title erstwhile they traded for Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and signed Brown the archetypal time.

"That was a prized plus they gave up," 1 wide manager told ESPN of Denver's 2032 pick. "Teams person been eyeing that 1 to spot if they'd really usage it."

"I cognize Cam Johnson has immoderate past wellness issues, but Porter's backmost issues and genu issues marque this determination marque consciousness to me," 1 league enforcement said. "I deliberation Cam and Jokic volition link connected the level well. They some deliberation the crippled the aforesaid way."

That's a batch of seasoned endowment brought successful to buttress the bench, thing erstwhile manager Michael Malone spent years begging for, lone for erstwhile Nuggets GM Calvin Booth to propulsion him to play the team's young draught picks instead.

"They've addressed shooting. Jonas is good arsenic a backup, THJ is large arsenic a backup, Bruce is simply a bully reclamation project, 1 scout said. "Calvin got excessively cute and doubled down connected it. They didn't request much than that. It's conscionable astir helping Jokic."

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2:36

Why swapping MPJ for Cam Johnson is simply a large determination for Nuggets

Shams Charania and the "NBA Today" unit respond to the Nuggets trading Michael Porter Jr. to the Nets for Cam Johnson.

But are the Nuggets immoderate person to different title? Opinions were wide ranging contempt Denver seemingly addressing its biggest issues. As 1 rival GM said, "There is lone 1 idiosyncratic who needs to beryllium impressed with their offseason. That's Jokic. Sometimes the champion trades you marque are the ones that prosecute your superstar. If Jokic is energized by those moves, past it was a large summer."

One imaginable complication to Denver's readying is the anticipation of Valanciunas returning to Europe adjacent play aft a study from European hoops tract BasketNews said helium is considering joining Greek powerhouse Panathinaikos.

A fewer things would person to hap first: Denver would request to waive him and, presumably, bargain retired the $10 cardinal connected his contract. The NBA would past person to assistance Valanciunas a missive of clearance.

That is acold from unprecedented. Last year, for example, Sasha Vezenkov agreed to a buyout with the Toronto Raptors to spell backmost to Europe. But dissimilar Vezenkov -- a spot subordinate for a squad that coiled up successful the lottery -- Valanciunas was conscionable acquired, successful theory, to capable a request for a squad warring for a championship. Thus it is acold from a definite happening the Nuggets would hold to let this determination to go a reality.


After injuries and offseason movement, what is the Eastern Conference scenery now?

At the commencement of the playoffs, the Boston Celtics were the statement favorites to instrumentality to the NBA Finals. Then, astatine the commencement of Game 7 of those Finals, the Indiana Pacers not lone had a accidental to triumph their archetypal title, but were already seen arsenic the league favorites adjacent play aft a thrilling tally done the East playoffs.

Achilles tears suffered by a brace of Olympic golden medalists -- Celtics guardant Jayson Tatum and Pacers defender Tyrese Haliburton -- has thrown the East into implicit disarray. Or, arsenic 1 adjunct manager said, "It's the worst it's ever been -- again."

With truthful overmuch uncertainty astir the conference, we conducted a drawback canvass of 8 scouts and executives to spot wherever things stand.

What's wide is that the East is seen arsenic having 3 tiers: The Cleveland Cavaliers and New York Knicks are astatine the top; the Atlanta Hawks and Orlando Magic aft that; and past a jumbled remainder of the league pursuing from there.

That Philadelphia received 3 votes is simply a reminder that if the 76ers tin get their squad connected the court, they whitethorn person the highest ceiling of immoderate East team. However, the chances of that ceiling being reached are lowered by the wounded histories of Joel Embiid and Paul George and the wide catastrophe of a 2024-25 play Philadelphia suffered through. Boston, Indiana and the Miami Heat, who combined for 7 of the past 8 league finals appearances, received zero top-four votes.

"One of the things you larn erstwhile you enactment successful this league for a small portion is however fragile everything is, adjacent for the champion teams with the champion players who look invincible," 1 East GM said.

"These past fewer months person truly brought that home."


The mediate tier of players has done precise well

As 2025 escaped bureau has played out, determination has been disapproval -- notably from Golden State Warriors prima Draymond Green -- that the corporate bargaining statement is negatively impacting the players, and that the league is benefitting from it.

"Before the woody was adjacent signed, [I said] that this is ridiculous," Green said connected his eponymous podcast earlier this week. "It is going to wounded players successful the end. No 1 wanted to listen, and everyone wanted to enactment similar the [National Basketball Players Association] was making a large deal. ...

"Every year, the cookware gets bigger and the concern gets better, and the players get screwed more. That's conscionable however this concern works."

What's true, though, is that successful an offseason wherever lone the Brooklyn Nets entered with meaningful headdress abstraction -- earlier the Bucks cleared the country to get Myles Turner -- we've seen a batch of the alleged "middle class" of players cashing in.

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Windhorst: Nickeil Alexander-Walker an interaction signing for Hawks

Shams Charania and Brian Windhorst interruption down Nickeil Alexander-Walker and the Atlanta Hawks agreeing connected a four-year, $62 cardinal deal.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Dennis Schroder, Dorian Finney-Smith, Caris LeVert, Duncan Robinson, Luke Kornet and Luke Kennard each changed teams connected deals worthy 8 figures per year. Several different players -- including Brook Lopez, Clint Capela, Kevon Looney, Ty Jerome, Ayton, LaRavia, Guerschon Yabusele and Tyus Jones -- each signed for astatine slightest the taxpayer's midlevel objection of $5.7 million. Several others -- including Naz Reid, Santi Aldama, Sam Merrill, Davion Mitchell, Tre Jones, Tre Mann and Jaylin Williams -- each signed sizable midrange deals to instrumentality to their existent squads.

There has been a communal refrain nether the caller CBA that the lower-level players are going to get squeezed retired of the picture. Instead, this summertime has shown that adjacent successful a twelvemonth erstwhile determination isn't headdress space, those players are doing conscionable fine.

"The mediate people is [alive], for sure," 1 enforcement said.


The CBA's 2nd apron is moving arsenic intended

The CBA, and particularly the instauration of the restrictive 2nd apron, has had a large interaction connected roster-building. Just this offseason, the Phoenix Suns and Celtics escaped the 2nd apron, and lone the Cavaliers are expected to decorativeness the 2025-26 play supra it.

But past has shown that teams seldom run successful that realm.

Since the commencement of the 2013-14 season, erstwhile caller repeater taxation penalties were enactment successful place, determination person been 37 teams to decorativeness the play acold capable supra the wage headdress to suffice for spending into the 2nd apron (roughly 134% of the cap).

Through the archetypal six years of that span -- starring up to the COVID-impacted 2019-20 play -- determination were 14 teams, and ne'er much than 3 successful a azygous season. But since the league finished its play wrong the Orlando bubble, determination person been 23 teams operating implicit that threshold, including 17 unsocial successful a three-year span from 2021-22 done 2023-24. The biggest driver: the wage headdress flattening implicit a multiyear play due to the fact that of the aftereffects of the pandemic.

Last year, the league was backmost down to 3 teams implicit the 2nd apron: Minnesota, Phoenix and Boston. And arsenic the wage headdress starts to regularly emergence again, the accrued flexibility for mid-tier teams little down the wage operation volition commencement to play a bigger relation than it has the past mates of years arsenic the marketplace has been gummed up with small headdress abstraction to enactment with.

"This CBA is large for the NBA," 1 enforcement said, "because it prioritizes bully absorption and bully leadership. If you don't person that, you're rapidly going to beryllium stuck with a atrocious team."

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