Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.: How to find betting value for the fight

Social media influencer and boxer Jake Paul returns to the ringing Saturday arsenic a monolithic favourite against Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.

In his archetypal combat since winning by unanimous decision implicit Mike Tyson successful November, Paul is -800 for his matchup against the erstwhile WBC middleweight titleholder. Chavez had 3 rubric defenses betwixt 2011 and 2012 and past fought conscionable nether a twelvemonth ago, taking a unanimous determination implicit erstwhile UFC combatant Uriah Hall, a bout coincidentally connected the Paul-Mike Perry undercard.

This bout has each the feels of a Jake Paul domination, but the money-line terms is excessively steep to play (unless you wanted to propulsion it successful arsenic an anchor of a parlay).

Instead, I'm looking astatine worth plays. For starters, Paul, 28, is +130 to triumph by KO/TKO/DQ. With fight-ending power, facing an hostile 11 years his elder who has accumulated overmuch much harm implicit the years, Paul winning by knockout wouldn't daze me.

Another enactment to see is simply a knockdown prop. Even if Paul were to triumph by decision, I could spot him catching Chavez aboriginal connected and dropping him to the canvas, a stake that is paying adjacent wealth astatine ESPN BET. If you wanted to instrumentality it a measurement further and prime aggregate knockdowns -- thing I decidedly tin spot happening successful this combat -- that implicit stake sits astatine +150.

Also, worthy information is playing Paul to triumph by decision. If you deliberation Chavez is durable capable to last, you tin get this stake astatine adjacent money. Just beryllium prepared to person immoderate bumpy moments passim the fight.

The 10-round main lawsuit is scheduled for 11 p.m. ET from the Honda Center successful Anaheim, California (streaming connected DAZN pay-per-view).